Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.867494 7.585487 8.382667 9.340447 10.469443 11.770033 13.399551
2025-02-09 5.916565 6.910302 8.112833 9.705532 11.808339 14.565433 18.593739
2025-02-16 5.249607 6.346329 7.747798 9.728436 12.561226 16.656978 23.448585
2025-02-23 4.870629 6.053842 7.634877 9.996073 13.622167 19.370012 30.208637
2025-03-02 4.391904 5.557226 7.160400 9.645034 13.654252 20.449965 34.616294
2025-03-09 4.040738 5.191932 6.816218 9.417588 13.808692 21.738961 40.021272
2025-03-16 3.781864 4.928024 6.583412 9.317833 14.138968 23.417227 47.228937
2025-03-23 3.658192 4.844122 6.603806 9.618448 15.221910 26.907940 61.613061
2025-03-30 3.414244 4.561586 6.289898 9.312853 15.107400 27.793658 69.213035
2025-04-06 3.192672 4.296826 5.980881 8.977755 14.873971 28.339588 76.289980
2025-04-13 2.993208 4.053001 5.686317 8.635688 14.569620 28.632960 82.880509
2025-04-20 2.865682 3.911806 5.546580 8.557233 14.802373 30.392499 98.112432
2025-04-27 2.851478 3.957270 5.735439 9.148275 16.710284 37.945546 162.940505
2025-05-04 2.788224 3.922619 5.790824 9.505070 18.228967 45.604866 273.388181
2025-05-11 2.678373 3.803574 5.687534 9.527396 18.936366 51.091856 420.485333
2025-05-18 2.612998 3.752417 5.698416 9.786845 20.350858 60.780078 863.429780
2025-05-25 2.471582 3.564724 5.446170 9.446531 20.006325 62.395812 1190.888815
2025-06-01 2.357837 3.417637 5.258040 9.225937 19.967290 65.660586 1946.374414
2025-06-08 2.269082 3.308250 5.131884 9.129164 20.284362 71.317298 4521.914220
2025-06-15 2.234101 3.289062 5.173263 9.420750 21.917529 87.284698 323389.283809
2025-06-22 2.133444 3.149965 4.975073 9.124332 21.532446 89.316295 NaN
2025-06-29 2.036163 3.012690 4.772753 8.799134 20.986018 89.789128 NaN
2025-07-06 1.944076 2.880995 4.574553 8.466997 20.356663 89.204631 NaN